Fed Holds, Flags One Rate Cut for 2026
FOMC voted 11-1 to keep rates at 3.5%–3.75% and pared the 2026 easing signal to one cut. Stocks fell to 2026 lows — Dow −768 pts, S&P 500 −1.36% to 6,624.70 — as core PCE forecasts were revised up to 2.7%.
FOMC voted 11-1 to keep rates at 3.5%–3.75% and pared the 2026 easing signal to one cut. Stocks fell to 2026 lows — Dow −768 pts, S&P 500 −1.36% to 6,624.70 — as core PCE forecasts were revised up to 2.7%.
All 11 S&P 500 sectors advanced for the first time since Iran's Hormuz closure. S&P gained 0.66% to 6,760, Dow up 0.91%, yield at 4.20%, ahead of Wednesday's FOMC.
XLE up 27% YTD as Brent crude holds above $103, driving the sharpest US sector divergence in years. Tech compresses under 4.27% Treasury yields as the FOMC convenes.
S&P 500 at 6,632 enters Monday with three straight weekly losses. FOMC decision Wednesday, Nvidia GTC keynote Monday, and PPI data define the pivotal week of March 16–20.
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